Illusions in human life are deeply connected to our perception and cognitive experience. It influences how we interpret reality and navigate everyday situations. These illusions range from simple optical tricks to more complex psychological and existential misperceptions that influence our beliefs, expectations, and well-being. Illusion of Predictability The illusion of predictability is a cognitive bias where people overestimate their ability to foresee future events or outcomes. This bias often arises from relying on past experiences, which leads individuals to feel unjustifiably confident in their judgments about what will happen next. The illusion persists because our minds are wired to construct coherent stories from limited or ambiguous information, creating a sense of understanding and control over what are actually chaotic or unknown outcomes. In business or investing, people may put undue trust in models or trends, confident in their predictive power, even when outcomes d...
An open discussion about past, present and future of Humanity.